Azadegan League · Regular Season - 4
Havadar0–1Pars Jonoubi JAM
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Azadegan League
- Venue
- Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 90+1′H. ZamehranNormal GoalPars Jonoubi JAM
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Havadar vs Pars Jonoubi JAM: match review and analysis
Havadar vs Pars Jonoubi JAM in Azadegan League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Havadar recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Pars Jonoubi JAM recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 17 scored and 4 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Havadar | Pars Jonoubi JAM |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Havadar: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 0.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Pars Jonoubi JAM: (1.66 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Havadar recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ario EslamshahrAzadegan League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Mes RafsanjanAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Naft GachsaranAzadegan League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Nassaji MazandaranAzadegan League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Damash GilanianAzadegan League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SaipaAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Navad UrmiaAzadegan League | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Havadar’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Pars Jonoubi JAM recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naft Masjed SoleymanAzadegan League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Shahin Bandar AmeriAzadegan League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shenavarsazi QeshmAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Be'sat KermanshahAzadegan League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Damash GilanianAzadegan League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Niroye ZaminiAzadegan League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Navad UrmiaAzadegan League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mes KermanAzadegan League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SaipaAzadegan League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sanat NaftAzadegan League | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Pars Jonoubi JAM’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Azadegan League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Pars Jonoubi JAM are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 8 points from 4 games.
Havadar are ranked 16 in Regular Season, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saipa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Pars Jonoubi JAM | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Mes Rafsanjan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Be'sat Kermanshah | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Naft Masjed Soleyman | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Shahin Bandar Ameri | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Ario Eslamshahr | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Fard Alborz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Niroye Zamini | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Novin Ahvaz | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mes Kerman | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Naft Gachsaran | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Mes Soongoun | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Havadar | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.