UEFA Nations League · League C - 4
Cyprus2–1Latvia
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League
- Venue
- GSP Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 57′
- 70′Giannis KostiNormal GoalCyprus
- 90+4′
Cards
- 29′Raivis JurkovskisYellow CardLatviaFoul
- 76′danila patijcuksYellow CardLatviaNot Retreating
- 85′Leonidas·KonomisYellow CardCyprusFoul
- 85′Andrejs CigaņiksYellow CardLatviaDissent
- 90+5′Marcus EdwardsYellow CardCyprus
Events updated
Lineups
Cyprus
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Apostolos Mantzios
Starting XI
- 1FabianoG
- 15L. KonomisD
- 4H. KyprianouD
- 3N. PanagiotouD
- 14G. MalekkidisD
- 18K. ArtymatasM
- 20G. KastanosM
- 23M. EdwardsM
- 10L. LoizouM
- 11A. KakoullisM
- 9I. PittasF
Substitutes
Latvia
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Paolo Nicolato
Starting XI
- 23R. MatrevicsG
- 13R. JurkovskisD
- 21D. MelniksD
- 4O. VientiessD
- 2D. BalodisD
- 14A. CiganiksD
- 7E. DaskevicsM
- 10L. VapneM
- 15D. ZelenkovsM
- 17M. StrodsM
- 9V. GutkovskisF
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Cyprus vs Latvia: match review and analysis
Cyprus vs Latvia in UEFA Nations League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Cyprus recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Latvia recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 5 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cyprus | Latvia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cyprus: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Latvia: (0.51 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cyprus recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmeniaUEFA Nations League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| LatviaUEFA Nations League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MontenegroUEFA Nations League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LiechtensteinFriendlies | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| SloveniaFriendlies | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MoldovaFriendlies | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| BelarusFriendlies | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| EstoniaFriendlies | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| AustriaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| San MarinoWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cyprus’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Latvia recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MontenegroUEFA Nations League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CyprusUEFA Nations League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ArmeniaUEFA Nations League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Faroe IslandsBaltic Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LithuaniaBaltic Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GibraltarUEFA Nations League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| GibraltarUEFA Nations League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| SerbiaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FYR MacedoniaFriendlies | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| EnglandWorld Cup - Qualification Europe | Home | 0–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Latvia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
UEFA Nations League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | FYR Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 0 |
Cyprus are ranked 2 in League C - Group B, with 7 points from 4 games.
Latvia are ranked 4 in League C - Group B, with 1 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.