Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 38
UAI Urquiza3–2Ituzaingó
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B Metropolitana
- Venue
- Monumental de Villa Lynch
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–2
- 90-minute score
- 3–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 49′J. OdunukweNormal GoalItuzaingó
- 60′J. MazaNormal GoalItuzaingó
- 67′F. MesaNormal GoalUAI Urquiza
- 85′E. DiazNormal GoalUAI Urquiza
- 90+3′N. RiosNormal GoalUAI Urquiza
Cards
- 26′J. MartinezYellow CardItuzaingó
- 57′S. MonzonYellow CardUAI Urquiza
- 79′F. PostelYellow CardUAI Urquiza
- 90+4′N. RiosYellow CardUAI Urquiza
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó: match review and analysis
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó in Primera B Metropolitana on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
UAI Urquiza recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 10. Ituzaingó recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, with 5 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | UAI Urquiza | Ituzaingó |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
UAI Urquiza: (0.56 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ituzaingó: (0.59 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
UAI Urquiza recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Arsenal SarandiPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Argentino de MerloPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportivo LaferrerePrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Brown DE AdroguePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo ArmenioPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FlandriaPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from UAI Urquiza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ituzaingó recent form
0.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ComunicacionesPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dock SudPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Arsenal SarandiPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo MerloPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Argentino de MerloPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo CamionerosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Talleres RemediosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Ituzaingó’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B Metropolitana — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
UAI Urquiza are ranked 21 in Prim B Metro, with 35 points from 38 games.
Ituzaingó are ranked 22 in Prim B Metro, with 15 points from 38 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martín Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 44 |
| 15 | Deportivo Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 43 |
| 17 | Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown DE Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.