CONCACAF Nations League · League A - 2
Guatemala1–0Suriname
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 90′
Cards
- 34′Kenneth PaalYellow CardSurinameFoul
- 60′William FajardoYellow CardGuatemalaFoul
- 63′Richonell MargaretRed CardSurinameAbusive Language
- 90+2′Matthew Dominic Evans WolffYellow CardGuatemalaFoul
- 90+11′Jefry BantesYellow CardGuatemalaFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Guatemala
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Fernando Tena Luis
Starting XI
- 1N. HagenG
- 7A. HerreraD
- 15A. YanesD
- 3N. SamayoaD
- 16J. MoralesD
- 19W. FajardoM
- 22J. FrancoM
- 5J. RosalesM
- 18A. LopezM
- 9R. RubinF
- 14D. LomF
Substitutes
- 21L. MoranG
- 12K. NavarroG
- 2C. EstradaD
- 6C. CalderonD
- 20K. RamirezM
- 10O. EscobarF
- 13S. RoblesM
- 17O. CastellanosM
- 8M. EvansM
- 4J. BantesF
- 23J. Bolanos
- 11R. MunozF
Suriname
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Henk Fraser
Starting XI
- 23E. VaessenG
- 2N. BakboordD
- 21L. van GelderenD
- 12M. AbenaD
- 19S. PinasD
- 22P. KennethM
- 11D. CleoniseM
- 6I. PheraiM
- 16S. ZandM
- 7G. KerkM
- 18D. DanielsF
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Guatemala vs Suriname: match review and analysis
Guatemala vs Suriname in CONCACAF Nations League on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Guatemala recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Suriname recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Guatemala | Suriname |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Guatemala: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Suriname: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Guatemala recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurinameCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| El SalvadorCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| JamaicaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| EcuadorFriendlies | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CzechiaFriendlies | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| AlgeriaFriendlies | Away | 0–7 | Lost | |
| CanadaFriendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| SurinameWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PanamaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| El SalvadorWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Guatemala’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Suriname recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GuatemalaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MartiniqueCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| HondurasCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| BoliviaWorld Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| GuatemalaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| El SalvadorWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| PanamaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GuatemalaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| El SalvadorWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| PanamaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Suriname’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.