Federation Cup · Group Stage
Mohammedan Dhaka3–1Arambagh
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Federation Cup
- Venue
- Rafiq Uddin Bhuiyan Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 16′R. SurajNormal GoalArambagh
- 38′
- 57′S. DewanNormal GoalMohammedan Dhaka
- 74′M. S. RanaNormal GoalMohammedan Dhaka
- 90+4′S. DiabateNormal GoalMohammedan Dhaka
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Mohammedan Dhaka vs Arambagh: match review and analysis
Mohammedan Dhaka vs Arambagh in Federation Cup on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Mohammedan Dhaka recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 8. Arambagh recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 7 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Mohammedan Dhaka | Arambagh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Mohammedan Dhaka: (2.41 weighted goals scored + 1.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Arambagh: (0.74 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.75 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Mohammedan Dhaka recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FakirerpoolPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Brothers UnionPremier League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Bashundhara KingsFederation Cup | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Rahmatgonj MFSPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Brothers UnionFederation Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ArambaghPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rahmatgonj MFSFederation Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Bashundhara KingsPremier League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PWD Sports ClubPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| ArambaghFederation Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Mohammedan Dhaka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Arambagh recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmatgonj MFSPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bashundhara KingsPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AbahaniPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Bangladesh PolicePremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mohammedan DhakaPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Brothers UnionPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Rahmatgonj MFSPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mohammedan DhakaFederation Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| FortisPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Bashundhara KingsPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Arambagh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Federation Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.