CAF U23 Cup of Nations · Quarter-finals
Tanzania U233–1Kenya U23
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 9 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CAF U23 Cup of Nations
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tanzania U23 vs Kenya U23: match review and analysis
Tanzania U23 vs Kenya U23 in CAF U23 Cup of Nations on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Tanzania U23 recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 9 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Kenya U23 recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, with 9 scored and 2 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Tanzania U23 | Kenya U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 2 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 3 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tanzania U23: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 0.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kenya U23: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 9 GAMES
Tanzania U23 recent form
0.89 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. 5 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya U23CAF U23 Cup of Nations | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Nigeria U23Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nigeria U23Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| South Sudan U23Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| South Sudan U23Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Burundi U23CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| South Sudan U23CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Uganda U23CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Congo DR U23CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tanzania U23’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LAST 5 GAMES
Kenya U23 recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. 3 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzania U23CAF U23 Cup of Nations | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| South Sudan U23CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Burundi U23CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| South Sudan U23CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Djibouti U23CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Kenya U23’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CAF U23 Cup of Nations — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.