EFL Trophy · Group North - 1
Accrington ST1–1Salford City
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- EFL Trophy
- Venue
- The Crown Ground
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Accrington ST vs Salford City: match review and analysis
Accrington ST vs Salford City in EFL Trophy on 6 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 1–1, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Accrington ST recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Salford City recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Accrington ST | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Accrington ST: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 1.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Salford City: (1.70 weighted goals scored + 1.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Accrington ST recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CheltenhamLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Swindon TownLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sunderland U21EFL Trophy | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Crawley TownLeague Two | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| WalsallLeague Two | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Exeter CityLeague Two | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ColchesterLeague Two | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Accrington ST’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Salford City recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood TownLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| OldhamLeague Two | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Sheffield WednesdayEFL Trophy | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Swindon TownLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| RotherhamLeague Two | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Port ValeLeague Two | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ShrewsburyLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ChesterfieldLeague Two | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Salford City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
EFL Trophy — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.