EFL Trophy · Group North - 7
Fleetwood Town4–1Barnsley
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- EFL Trophy
- Venue
- Highbury Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–1
- 90-minute score
- 4–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley: match review and analysis
Fleetwood Town vs Barnsley in EFL Trophy on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Fleetwood Town recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Barnsley recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fleetwood Town | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fleetwood Town: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 2.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Barnsley: (1.70 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fleetwood Town recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford CityLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RochdaleLeague Two | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| OldhamEFL Trophy | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BarnetLeague Two | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sheffield UtdLeague Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Newport CountyLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ShrewsburyLeague Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| OldhamLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GrimsbyLeague Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ShrewsburyLeague Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Fleetwood Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Barnsley recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United U21EFL Trophy | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| LeicesterLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PeterboroughLeague Cup | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| PlymouthLeague One | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| StevenageLeague One | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| BlackpoolLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Leyton OrientLeague One | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| CreweLeague Cup | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| DoncasterLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BromleyLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Barnsley’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
EFL Trophy — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.