EFL Trophy · Group South - 2
Stevenage2–1Leicester
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- EFL Trophy
- Venue
- Broadhall Way
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Stevenage vs Leicester: match review and analysis
Stevenage vs Leicester in EFL Trophy on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Stevenage recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Leicester recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 17 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Stevenage | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Stevenage: (2.04 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.81 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Leicester: (1.94 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Stevenage recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalsallEFL Trophy | Away | 6–1 | Won | |
| Leyton OrientLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LutonLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BarnsleyLeague One | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| PeterboroughLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| DoncasterLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ReadingLeague Cup | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Oxford UnitedLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Burton AlbionLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| WycombeLeague Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Stevenage’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Leicester recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham U21EFL Trophy | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| BarnsleyLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stockport CountyLeague One | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Oxford UnitedLeague One | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| PlymouthLeague One | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Milton Keynes DonsLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| IpswichLeague Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Burton AlbionLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Notts CountyLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| NorthamptonLeague Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Leicester’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
EFL Trophy — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.