National League Cup · Group Stage
AFC Hornchurch1–1Fulham U21
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- National League Cup
- Venue
- Hornchurch Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21: match review and analysis
AFC Hornchurch vs Fulham U21 in National League Cup on 6 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 1–1, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
AFC Hornchurch recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Fulham U21 recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 22 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | AFC Hornchurch | Fulham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
AFC Hornchurch: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 2.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Fulham U21: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
AFC Hornchurch recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate TownNational League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Aldershot TownNational League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AltrinchamNational League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| ScunthorpeNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| WorthingNational League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC Halifax TownNational League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Ipswich Town U21National League Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Forest GreenNational League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Boston UnitedNational League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| WokingNational League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from AFC Hornchurch’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Fulham U21 recent form
2.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeicesterEFL Trophy | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Chelsea U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Aston Villa U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| BraintreeNational League Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Newcastle United U21Premier League 2 Division One | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Borussia Dortmund IIPremier League International Cup | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Burnley U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Aldershot TownNational League Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cardiff City U21Friendlies Clubs | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| West Ham United U21Premier League 2 Division One | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Fulham U21’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
National League Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.