Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 12
Ilkeston Town0–2Guiseley AFC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Non League Premier - Northern
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–2
- 90-minute score
- 0–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC: match review and analysis
Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC in Non League Premier - Northern on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Ilkeston Town recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 9 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 27. Guiseley AFC recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 25 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ilkeston Town | Guiseley AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 27 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ilkeston Town: (0.58 weighted goals scored + 0.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.78 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guiseley AFC: (2.36 weighted goals scored + 2.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ilkeston Town recent form
0.60 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lancaster CityNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| RylandsNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Anstey NomadsFA Trophy | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| LeamingtonFA Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| QuornNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| BuryNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–7 | Lost | |
| Ashton UnitedNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cleethorpes TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Warrington TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ilkeston Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guiseley AFC recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford (Park Avenue)FA Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Alfreton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Bamber BridgeFA Trophy | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Hebburn TownFA Cup | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| QuornNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Stockton TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Stockton TownFA Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AFC EmleyNon League Premier - Northern | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Lancaster CityNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Guiseley AFC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Non League Premier - Northern — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guiseley AFC are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 22 points from 11 games.
Ilkeston Town are ranked 21 in Regular Season, with 7 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough Trinity | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster City | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde United | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby Town | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 26 | -19 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.