FA Cup · 3rd Round Qualifying Replays
Wingate & Finchley1–3Bedford Town
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FA Cup
- Venue
- Maurice Rebak Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town: match review and analysis
Wingate & Finchley vs Bedford Town in FA Cup on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Wingate & Finchley recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Bedford Town recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 16 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Wingate & Finchley | Bedford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Wingate & Finchley: (1.89 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bedford Town: (1.54 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.56 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Wingate & Finchley recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford TownFA Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Real BedfordFA Trophy | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hemel Hempstead TownFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| AveleyNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Felixstowe & Walton UtdFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Felixstowe & Walton UtdFA Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Enfield TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Wingate & Finchley’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bedford Town recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wingate & FinchleyFA Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| HerefordNational League - North | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| King's Lynn TownFA Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Spalding UnitedNational League - North | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Worksop TownNational League - North | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| RadcliffeNational League - North | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AFC Telford UnitedNational League - North | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Spennymoor TownNational League - North | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SouthportNational League - North | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| BuxtonNational League - North | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bedford Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FA Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.