Serie B · Regular Season - 32
Goias2–1Athletic Club
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie B
- Venue
- Estádio da Serrinha
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Goias vs Athletic Club: match review and analysis
Goias vs Athletic Club in Serie B on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Goias recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Athletic Club recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 16 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Goias | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 8 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Goias: (0.82 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Athletic Club: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Goias recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NovorizontinoSerie B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Atletico GoianienseSerie B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AvaiSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Botafogo SPSerie B | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Vila NovaSerie B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Fortaleza ECSerie B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| São BernardoSerie B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CuiabaSerie B | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JuventudeSerie B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CriciumaSerie B | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Goias’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Athletic Club recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport RecifeSerie B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Fortaleza ECSerie B | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Botafogo SPSerie B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JuventudeSerie B | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| CuiabaSerie B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Vila NovaSerie B | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Nautico RecifeSerie B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NovorizontinoSerie B | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| CRBSerie B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| America MineiroSerie B | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Athletic Club’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Goias are ranked 11 in Serie B, with 45 points from 32 games.
Athletic Club are ranked 14 in Serie B, with 42 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 58 |
| 3 | Fortaleza EC | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 56 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 27 | 25 | 54 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico Goianiense | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | São Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico Recife | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 42 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 |
| 15 | Ceara | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 28 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 68 | -51 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.