Copa Chile · Quarter-finals
Colo ColovsD. Puerto Montt
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Chile
- Venue
- Estadio Monumental David Arellano
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt: match review and analysis
Colo Colo vs D. Puerto Montt in Copa Chile on 6 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Colo Colo recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 6. D. Puerto Montt recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Colo Colo | D. Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 6 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Colo Colo: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
D. Puerto Montt: (0.69 weighted goals scored + 0.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.60 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Colo Colo recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Puerto MonttCopa Chile | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| A. ItalianoCopa Chile | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| A. ItalianoCopa Chile | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ConcepciónPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HuachipatoPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| A. ItalianoPrimera División | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Union EspanolaCopa Chile | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Universidad de ChilePrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| O'HigginsPrimera División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Union La CaleraPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Colo Colo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
D. Puerto Montt recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes CopiapoPrimera B | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Colo ColoCopa Chile | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| NublenseCopa Chile | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| NublenseCopa Chile | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MagallanesPrimera B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rangers de TalcaPrimera B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Curico UnidoPrimera B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Deportes TemucoPrimera B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Deportes IquiquePrimera B | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Santiago WanderersPrimera B | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from D. Puerto Montt’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Chile — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.