Türkiye Kupası · Round of 16
Somaspor4–2Alanya 1221 FK
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Türkiye Kupası
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–2
- 90-minute score
- 4–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Somaspor vs Alanya 1221 FK: match review and analysis
Somaspor vs Alanya 1221 FK in Türkiye Kupası on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Somaspor recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Alanya 1221 FK recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 3 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Somaspor | Alanya 1221 FK |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 3 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Somaspor: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 1.58 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alanya 1221 FK: (0.28 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Somaspor recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaraspor2. Lig | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Muş Sport Klübü2. Lig | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik2. Lig | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| 68 Aksaray Belediyespor2. Lig | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor2. Lig | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Bursaspor2. Lig | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| 68 Aksaray Belediyespor2. Lig | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Menemen FK2. Lig | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kırklarelispor2. Lig | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Isparta 32 Spor2. Lig | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Somaspor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alanya 1221 FK recent form
0.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altay3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Etimesgut SK3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Akşehirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Eskişehirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Eskişehirspor3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Denizli İYG3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ayvalikgucu3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Uşak Spor3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Altay3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Alanya 1221 FK’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Türkiye Kupası — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.