Third League - Southwest · Southwest - 10
Bansko1–0Botev Ihtiman
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Southwest
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman: match review and analysis
Bansko vs Botev Ihtiman in Third League - Southwest on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Bansko recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Botev Ihtiman recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 14 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Bansko | Botev Ihtiman |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 20 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Bansko: (2.10 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.68 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Botev Ihtiman: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Bansko recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KyustendilThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Strumska SlavaThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| OborishteThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BelasitsaThird League - Southwest | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Natsional SofiaThird League - Southwest | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Bansko’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Botev Ihtiman recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak PlovdivCup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FK Minyor PernikThird League - Southwest | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Natsional SofiaThird League - Southwest | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Chavdar EtropoleThird League - Southwest | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| CSKA Sofia IIIThird League - Southwest | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Balkan BotevgradThird League - Southwest | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KostinbrodThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Slivnishki geroyThird League - Southwest | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Botev Ihtiman’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Southwest — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Bansko are ranked 3 in Southwest, with 22 points from 10 games.
Botev Ihtiman are ranked 7 in Southwest, with 15 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minyor Pernik | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Oborishte | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Bansko | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Strumska Slava | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Balkan Botevgrad | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Botev Ihtiman | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Kostinbrod | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | CSKA Sofia III | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Levski Sofia II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Simitli | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Slivnishki geroy | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Belasitsa | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Chavdar Etropole | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Kyustendil | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Natsional Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Pirin Razlog | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.