Copa Ecuador · Semi-finals
Universidad CatolicavsLDU de Quito
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Ecuador
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito: match review and analysis
Universidad Catolica vs LDU de Quito in Copa Ecuador on 7 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Universidad Catolica recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 12. LDU de Quito recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Universidad Catolica | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Universidad Catolica: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
LDU de Quito: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.12 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Universidad Catolica recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDU de QuitoLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Orense SCLiga Pro | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Astillero FC (Ecu)Copa Ecuador | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Delfin SCLiga Pro | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| AucasLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Independiente del ValleLiga Pro | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Manta FCLiga Pro | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| MacaraLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LibertadLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CuniburoCopa Ecuador | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Universidad Catolica’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
LDU de Quito recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AucasCopa Ecuador | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| EmelecLiga Pro | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| MirassolCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from LDU de Quito’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Ecuador — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.