Primera B · Clausura - 4
Popayan1–1Union Magdalena
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Popayan vs Union Magdalena: match review and analysis
Popayan vs Union Magdalena in Primera B on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Popayan recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Union Magdalena recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Popayan | Union Magdalena |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Popayan: (2.02 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Union Magdalena: (1.28 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.28 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Popayan recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PatriotasPrimera B | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Leones FCPrimera B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| EnvigadoPrimera B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bogota FCPrimera B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Popayan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Union Magdalena recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real SantanderPrimera B | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Real CartagenaPrimera B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santa FeCopa Colombia | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PatriotasPrimera B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real CundinamarcaPrimera B | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BarranquillaPrimera B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EnvigadoPrimera B | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| QuindioPrimera B | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tigres FCPrimera B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Santa FeCopa Colombia | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Union Magdalena’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Union Magdalena are ranked 5 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 53 points from 32 games.
Popayan are ranked 12 in Primera B: Tabla Anual, with 31 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 59 |
| 2 | Quindio | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Envigado | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Union Magdalena | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Popayan | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 31 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 27 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | -25 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 19 |
Union Magdalena are ranked 2 in Primera B: Apertura, with 32 points from 15 games.
Popayan are ranked 12 in Primera B: Apertura, with 13 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 7 |
Union Magdalena are ranked 2 in Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
Popayan are ranked 4 in Primera B: Clausura, with 18 points from 11 games.
Union Magdalena are ranked 11 in Primera B: Clausura, with 12 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ind. Yumbo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Popayan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| 6 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Real Cartagena | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Depor FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 9 | Internacional Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.