First League · Regular Season - 9
Lernayin ArtsakhvsAraks Ararat
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Lernayin Artsakh vs Araks Ararat: match review and analysis
Lernayin Artsakh vs Araks Ararat in First League on 8 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Lernayin Artsakh recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 19. Araks Ararat recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 16 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Lernayin Artsakh | Araks Ararat |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Lernayin Artsakh: (2.77 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Araks Ararat: (1.45 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Lernayin Artsakh recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AndranikFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sardarapat 2First League | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Bentonit IjevanFirst League | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Banants IIFirst League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| EcovilleCup | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| MikaFirst League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ararat-Armenia IIFirst League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BKMA IIFirst League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Banants IIFirst League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Van IIFirst League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Lernayin Artsakh’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Araks Ararat recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKMA IIFirst League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Pyunik IIFirst League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Noah IIFirst League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Olympia YerevanFirst League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CiliciaCup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Shirak IIFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ararat IIFirst League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AndranikFirst League | Away | 1–7 | Lost | |
| Ararat-Armenia IIFirst League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| HayqFirst League | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Araks Ararat’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Lernayin Artsakh are ranked 5 in First League, with 12 points from 7 games.
Araks Ararat are ranked 7 in First League, with 9 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympia Yerevan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | BKMA II | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Bentonit Ijevan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Andranik | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Lernayin Artsakh | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pyunik II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Araks Ararat | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Mika | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Banants II | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
| 10 | Shirak II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Ararat II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Noah II | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
| 13 | Ararat-Armenia II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sardarapat 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.