Persian Gulf Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Tractor Sazi1–1Esteghlal FC
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Persian Gulf Pro League
- Venue
- Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC: match review and analysis
Tractor Sazi vs Esteghlal FC in Persian Gulf Pro League on 8 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Tractor Sazi recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Esteghlal FC recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 15 scored and 2 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tractor Sazi | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 2 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tractor Sazi: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 0.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.49 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Esteghlal FC: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 0.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tractor Sazi recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Shabab Al Ahli DubaiAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tractor Sazi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Esteghlal FC recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al SaddAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PaykanPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Aluminium ArakPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Foolad FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nassaji MazandaranPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mes Shahr-e BabakPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mes RafsanjanPersian Gulf Pro League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Esteghlal FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Persian Gulf Pro League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tractor Sazi are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 16 points from 7 games.
Esteghlal FC are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 15 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor Sazi | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Persepolis FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Aluminium Arak | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Sepahan FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Foolad FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Nassaji Mazandaran | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Chadormalu SC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Fajr Sepasi | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Malavan | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | ZOB Ahan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.