Liga Alef · North - 6
Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Alef
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: match review and analysis
Beitar Nahariya vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in Liga Alef on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Beitar Nahariya recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 14. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 15 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Beitar Nahariya | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Beitar Nahariya: (2.21 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm: (1.49 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Beitar Nahariya recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi NesherLiga Alef | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'ananLiga Alef | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Bnei MusmusLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattLiga Alef | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Ironi ArrabaLiga Alef | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalilState Cup | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| DimonaState Cup | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedState Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Ironi KarmielState Cup | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Ahli TamraState Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Beitar Nahariya’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi KarmielLiga Alef | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Ironi Baka El GarbiyaLiga Alef | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Tzeirey TamraLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Nazareth IllitLiga Alef | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Maccabi K. Ata BialikLiga Alef | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Bnei MusmusLiga Alef | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Ironi KarmielLiga Alef | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tzeirey TamraLiga Alef | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Ironi NesherLiga Alef | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hapoel Umm al-Fahm’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Alef — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.