Liga Alef · South - 6
DimonavsHapoel Sderot
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 9 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Alef
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot: match review and analysis
Dimona vs Hapoel Sderot in Liga Alef on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Dimona recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Hapoel Sderot recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 13 conceded across 9 games.
| Statistic | Dimona | Hapoel Sderot |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 9 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dimona: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Hapoel Sderot: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dimona recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Mahane YehudaLiga Alef | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Maccabi Kiryat MalachiLiga Alef | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Tzeirey TiraLiga Alef | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Maccabi YavneLiga Alef | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC JerusalemLiga Alef | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Tzeirey TiraLiga Alef | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Ramat HaSharonLiga Alef | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kfar Saba 1928Liga Alef | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Maccabi YavneLiga Alef | Away | 1–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dimona’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 9 GAMES
Hapoel Sderot recent form
1.22 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. 6 of 9 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel AzorLiga Alef | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hapoel Ramat HaSharonLiga Alef | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hapoel Mahane YehudaLiga Alef | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Maccabi Kiryat MalachiLiga Alef | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tzeirey TiraLiga Alef | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Hapoel Beer ShevaState Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hapoel HaderaState Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| ArabaState Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Maccabi YavneState Cup | Home | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Hapoel Sderot’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 9 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Alef — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.