Thai League 1 · Regular Season - 4
RatchaburivsSukhothai FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Thai League 1
- Venue
- Dragon Solar Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai FC: match review and analysis
Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai FC in Thai League 1 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ratchaburi recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 14. Sukhothai FC recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 8 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ratchaburi | Sukhothai FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ratchaburi: (2.09 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sukhothai FC: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 1.63 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.20 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ratchaburi recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ho Chi MinhASEAN Club Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Rayong FCThai League 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGAFC Champions League Elite | Home | 4–6 | Lost | |
| Bangkok UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ayutthaya FCThai League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KanchanaburiThai League 1 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rayong FCThai League 1 | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Chiangrai UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sukhothai FCThai League 1 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bangkok UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Ratchaburi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sukhothai FC recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port FCThai League 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| PrachuapThai League 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Buriram UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Muangthong UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RatchaburiThai League 1 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Chiangrai UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Bangkok UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Chonburi FCThai League 1 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KanchanaburiThai League 1 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sukhothai FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Thai League 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ratchaburi are ranked 9 in Premier League, with 4 points from 3 games.
Sukhothai FC are ranked 12 in Premier League, with 3 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rayong FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uthai Thani | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Prachuap | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Bangkok United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Port FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | BG Pathum United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Ratchaburi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Chiangrai United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Pattani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Sukhothai FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Sisaket United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Rasi Salai United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Lamphun Warrior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.