Ligi kuu Bara · Regular Season - 7
Fountain GatevsJKT Tanzania
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Ligi kuu Bara
- Venue
- Kwaraa Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania: match review and analysis
Fountain Gate vs JKT Tanzania in Ligi kuu Bara on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Fountain Gate recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 6 and conceding 15. JKT Tanzania recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Fountain Gate | JKT Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Fountain Gate: (0.62 weighted goals scored + 1.65 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
JKT Tanzania: (0.96 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Fountain Gate recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kagera SugarLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mbeya CityLigi kuu Bara | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| NamungoLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MashujaaLigi kuu Bara | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Singida Black StarsLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Singida Black StarsLigi kuu Bara | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| NamungoLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| MashujaaLigi kuu Bara | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Fountain Gate’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
JKT Tanzania recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal UnionLigi kuu Bara | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Pamba JijiLigi kuu Bara | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| NamungoLigi kuu Bara | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Polisi TanzaniaLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tabora UnitedLigi kuu Bara | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Young AfricansLigi kuu Bara | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Pamba JijiLigi kuu Bara | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tanzania PrisonsLigi kuu Bara | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from JKT Tanzania’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Ligi kuu Bara — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
JKT Tanzania are ranked 10 in Ligi kuu Bara, with 7 points from 6 games.
Fountain Gate are ranked 14 in Ligi kuu Bara, with 4 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Geita Gold | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Tabora United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Namungo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 2 |
| 16 | Pamba Jiji | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.