Super League · Regular Season - 27
Sichuan JiuniuvsHenan Jianye
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Super League
- Venue
- Shenzhen Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye: match review and analysis
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye in Super League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Sichuan Jiuniu recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Henan Jianye recorded 2 wins, 7 draws and 1 losses, with 16 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Sichuan Jiuniu | Henan Jianye |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Sichuan Jiuniu: (1.18 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Henan Jianye: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.32 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Sichuan Jiuniu recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong LunengSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGSuper League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hangzhou GreentownSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shenyang UrbanSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Beijing GuoanSuper League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Yunnan YukunSuper League | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| SHANGHAI SIPGFA Cup | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wuhan Three TownsSuper League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League | Home | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Sichuan Jiuniu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Henan Jianye recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuhan Three TownsSuper League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chengdu Better CitySuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chongqing Tongliang LongSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shenyang UrbanSuper League | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Dalian ZhixingSuper League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shandong LunengSuper League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dalian ZhixingFA Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Qingdao JonoonSuper League | Home | 5–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Henan Jianye’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Sichuan Jiuniu are ranked 11 in Super League, with 28 points from 26 games.
Henan Jianye are ranked 12 in Super League, with 27 points from 26 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 27 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 14 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.