Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 7
Neftchi BakuvsSabah FA
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premyer Liqa
- Venue
- Palms Sports Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA: match review and analysis
Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA in Premyer Liqa on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Neftchi Baku recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 24 and conceding 10. Sabah FA recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 23 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Neftchi Baku | Sabah FA |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 24 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Neftchi Baku: (2.65 weighted goals scored + 1.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sabah FA: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 1.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Neftchi Baku recent form
2.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QabalaPremyer Liqa | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Imisli FKPremyer Liqa | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Safa BakuPremyer Liqa | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| SumqayıtPremyer Liqa | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo MinskUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| NK OsijekFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Radnicki NISFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Neftchi Baku’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sabah FA recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imisli FKPremyer Liqa | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Safa BakuPremyer Liqa | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| ZiraPremyer Liqa | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| ArazPremyer Liqa | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| KapazPremyer Liqa | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| AarhusUEFA Champions League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| AarhusUEFA Champions League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Sabah FA’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premyer Liqa — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Neftchi Baku are ranked 1 in Premyer Liqasi, with 15 points from 6 games.
Sabah FA are ranked 2 in Premyer Liqasi, with 15 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 15 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 15 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Şamaxı FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Kapaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Qabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |
| 11 | Sumqayıt | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.