II Liga - East · Regular Season - 11
Chojniczanka ChojnicevsPodhale Nowy Targ
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- II Liga - East
- Venue
- Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ: match review and analysis
Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Podhale Nowy Targ in II Liga - East on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chojniczanka Chojnice recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 18. Podhale Nowy Targ recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, with 22 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chojniczanka Chojnice | Podhale Nowy Targ |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chojniczanka Chojnice: (1.97 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Podhale Nowy Targ: (2.10 weighted goals scored + 1.71 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.90 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chojniczanka Chojnice recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik ŁęcznaII Liga - East | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Olimpia GrudziądzII Liga - East | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Świt SkolwinII Liga - East | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Resovia RzeszówII Liga - East | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sokół KleczewII Liga - East | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Stal Stalowa WolaII Liga - East | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Śląsk Wrocław IIII Liga - East | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Znicz PruszkówII Liga - East | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Podhale Nowy TargCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sandecja Nowy SączII Liga - East | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chojniczanka Chojnice’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Podhale Nowy Targ recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rekord Bielsko-BiałaII Liga - East | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Legia Warszawa IIII Liga - East | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Stal Stalowa WolaII Liga - East | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Sandecja Nowy SączII Liga - East | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiCup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Olimpia GrudziądzII Liga - East | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Resovia RzeszówII Liga - East | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Górnik ŁęcznaII Liga - East | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Hutnik KrakówII Liga - East | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Chojniczanka ChojniceCup | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Podhale Nowy Targ’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
II Liga - East — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Podhale Nowy Targ are ranked 4 in II Liga - East, with 17 points from 10 games.
Chojniczanka Chojnice are ranked 11 in II Liga - East, with 14 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Hutnik Kraków | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Avia Świdnik | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 8 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.