Liga 3 · Regular Season - 23
VarketilivsDinamo Tbilisi II
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II: match review and analysis
Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II in Liga 3 on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Varketili recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 8. Dinamo Tbilisi II recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Varketili | Dinamo Tbilisi II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Varketili: (2.06 weighted goals scored + 1.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dinamo Tbilisi II: (1.96 weighted goals scored + 0.82 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Varketili recent form
2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GonioLiga 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC Iberia 1999 IILiga 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lokomotivi TbilisiLiga 3 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Iveria KhashuriLiga 3 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Iberia 2010Liga 3 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kolkheti KhobiLiga 3 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Margveti 2006Liga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RustaviDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AragvelebiDavid Kipiani Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| GardabaniLiga 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Varketili’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dinamo Tbilisi II recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GuriaLiga 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GonioLiga 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC Iberia 1999 IILiga 3 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lokomotivi TbilisiLiga 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Iveria KhashuriLiga 3 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| Iberia 2010Liga 3 | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| Kolkheti KhobiLiga 3 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| SpaeriDavid Kipiani Cup | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| SkuriDavid Kipiani Cup | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Margveti 2006Liga 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dinamo Tbilisi II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Varketili are ranked 2 in Liga 3, with 52 points from 23 games.
Dinamo Tbilisi II are ranked 9 in Liga 3, with 32 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 67 | 11 | 56 | 54 |
| 2 | Varketili | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 57 | 14 | 43 | 52 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 II | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 42 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Irao | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Didube 2014 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 31 |
| 11 | Margveti 2006 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Gardabani | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 56 | -37 | 16 |
| 14 | Betlemi | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 55 | -40 | 16 |
| 15 | Iveria Khashuri | 23 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 14 |
| 16 | Iberia 2010 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 58 | -39 | 11 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.