Regionalliga - Nordost · Nordost - 12
BSG Chemie LeipzigvsLuckenwalde
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Regionalliga - Nordost
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde: match review and analysis
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde in Regionalliga - Nordost on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
BSG Chemie Leipzig recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Luckenwalde recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 8 losses, with 11 scored and 23 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | BSG Chemie Leipzig | Luckenwalde |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 23 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
BSG Chemie Leipzig: (1.37 weighted goals scored + 2.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Luckenwalde: (1.19 weighted goals scored + 1.64 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.42 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
BSG Chemie Leipzig recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AueRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chemnitzer FCRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AltglienickeRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Magdeburg IIRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC Carl Zeiss JenaRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| RSV EintrachtRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Hallescher FCRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from BSG Chemie Leipzig’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Luckenwalde recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg IIFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SV Babelsberg 03Regionalliga - Nordost | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Greifswalder FCRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BFC PreussenRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Erzgebirge AueRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| FSV ZwickauRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tasmania BerlinRegionalliga - Nordost | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Magdeburg IIRegionalliga - Nordost | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Luckenwalde’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Regionalliga - Nordost — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
BSG Chemie Leipzig are ranked 14 in Regionalliga: Nordost, with 9 points from 11 games.
Luckenwalde are ranked 18 in Regionalliga: Nordost, with 3 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Hallescher FC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | BFC Dynamo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Erzgebirge Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | FSV Zwickau | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 6 |
| 17 | Tasmania Berlin | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 5 |
| 18 | Luckenwalde | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.