Challenge League · Regular Season - 10
Neuchatel Xamax FCvsFC Winterthur
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Challenge League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Winterthur: match review and analysis
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Winterthur in Challenge League on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Neuchatel Xamax FC recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 19. FC Winterthur recorded 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 31 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Neuchatel Xamax FC | FC Winterthur |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 31 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Neuchatel Xamax FC: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Winterthur: (3.14 weighted goals scored + 2.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Neuchatel Xamax FC recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SochauxFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC ZurichFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| RapperswilChallenge League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Stade NyonnaisChallenge League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC WinterthurChallenge League | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Yverdon SportChallenge League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC AarauChallenge League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MeyrinSchweizer Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Étoile CarougeChallenge League | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Neuchatel Xamax FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Winterthur recent form
3.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Basel 1893Friendlies Clubs | Home | 7–3 | Won | |
| SeuzachFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| FC AarauChallenge League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Étoile CarougeChallenge League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Stade NyonnaisChallenge League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RapperswilChallenge League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zürich CitySchweizer Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FC WIL 1900Challenge League | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from FC Winterthur’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Challenge League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
FC Winterthur are ranked 2 in Challenge League, with 18 points from 9 games.
Neuchatel Xamax FC are ranked 6 in Challenge League, with 12 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | FC Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | SC Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Étoile Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | FC WIL 1900 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.