Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10
De GraafschapvsJong Utrecht
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Eerste Divisie
- Venue
- De Vijverberg
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht: match review and analysis
De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht in Eerste Divisie on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
De Graafschap recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 27. Jong Utrecht recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 16 scored and 26 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | De Graafschap | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 27 | 26 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
De Graafschap: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 2.38 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Jong Utrecht: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 2.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
De Graafschap recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC EindhovenEerste Divisie | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Den BoschEerste Divisie | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| NAC BredaEerste Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EmmenEerste Divisie | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| HeraclesEerste Divisie | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Almere City FCEerste Divisie | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| VVV VenloEerste Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Jong AZEerste Divisie | Home | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Helmond SportEerste Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ExcelsiorFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from De Graafschap’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Jong Utrecht recent form
1.60 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VVV VenloEerste Divisie | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Jong AjaxEerste Divisie | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| NAC BredaEerste Divisie | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FC EindhovenEerste Divisie | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Jong AZEerste Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC OSSEerste Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| HeraclesEerste Divisie | Home | 1–6 | Lost | |
| VitesseEerste Divisie | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MVVEerste Divisie | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Borussia Dortmund IIFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Jong Utrecht’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Eerste Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
De Graafschap are ranked 19 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 8 points from 9 games.
Jong Utrecht are ranked 20 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
De Graafschap are ranked 19 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 8 points from 9 games.
Jong Utrecht are ranked 20 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
De Graafschap are ranked 1 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.
Jong Utrecht are ranked 20 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
De Graafschap are ranked 1 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.
Jong Utrecht are ranked 20 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
De Graafschap are ranked 1 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.
Jong Utrecht are ranked 20 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.