← All matches and predictions

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10

Jong AjaxvsVVV Venlo

Real Scored · Match preview

Match prediction · 9 October 2026

Not Started

THE PREDICTION

Our match outlook

Over 1.5 goals

Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.

Prediction saved Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · 14:27 UTC

Match information

Competition: Eerste Divisie
Venue: Sportpark De Toekomst
Status: Not Started
Score: Not started
90-minute score: —
Last updated: Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · 14:22 UTC

Goals and cards

Goals

Match events are not yet available.

Cards

Match events are not yet available.

Lineups

Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.

Real Scored match analysis

Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo: match review and analysis

Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo in Eerste Divisie on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.

Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.

Jong Ajax recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 25. VVV Venlo recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 25 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.

Recent form comparison before kickoff
Statistic	Jong Ajax	VVV Venlo
Games	10	10
Wins	2	6
Draws	2	0
Losses	6	4
Goals scored	13	25
Goals conceded	25	17
Over 1.5 games	8	10

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Jong Ajax: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

VVV Venlo: (2.45 weighted goals scored + 2.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Model goals comparison · shared scale from 0 to 6

Jong Ajax 1.43

VVV Venlo 2.37

The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.

Recent results and goal trends

LAST 10 GAMES

Jong Ajax recent form

2Wins

2Draws

6Losses

13Goals scored

25Goals conceded

2Clean sheets

1.30 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals

Recent results before this match · newest first
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
Fri, 18 Sep 2026 UTC	RodaEerste Divisie	Home	0–0	Draw
Mon, 14 Sep 2026 UTC	Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie	Away	1–6	Lost
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 UTC	WaalwijkEerste Divisie	Home	0–2	Lost
Fri, 4 Sep 2026 UTC	Almere City FCEerste Divisie	Away	1–0	Won
Mon, 31 Aug 2026 UTC	Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie	Away	1–1	Draw
Fri, 28 Aug 2026 UTC	Helmond SportEerste Divisie	Home	3–2	Won
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 UTC	NAC BredaEerste Divisie	Away	2–3	Lost
Mon, 17 Aug 2026 UTC	EmmenEerste Divisie	Home	4–6	Lost
Fri, 7 Aug 2026 UTC	DordrechtEerste Divisie	Away	1–2	Lost
Fri, 17 Jul 2026 UTC	Jong AZFriendlies Clubs	Away	0–3	Lost

Scores shown from Jong Ajax’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LAST 10 GAMES

VVV Venlo recent form

6Wins

0Draws

4Losses

25Goals scored

17Goals conceded

3Clean sheets

2.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.

● Scored ■ Conceded · Regular-time goals

Recent results before this match · newest first
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
Sun, 4 Oct 2026 UTC	RodaEerste Divisie	Home	2–0	Won
Sat, 26 Sep 2026 UTC	FC VolendamEerste Divisie	Away	2–3	Lost
Fri, 18 Sep 2026 UTC	Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie	Away	3–1	Won
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 UTC	FC OSSEerste Divisie	Home	3–1	Won
Fri, 4 Sep 2026 UTC	Helmond SportEerste Divisie	Away	2–4	Lost
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 UTC	EmmenEerste Divisie	Home	4–0	Won
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 UTC	De GraafschapEerste Divisie	Home	2–1	Won
Fri, 14 Aug 2026 UTC	NAC BredaEerste Divisie	Away	2–0	Won
Fri, 7 Aug 2026 UTC	HeraclesEerste Divisie	Home	3–4	Lost
Sat, 1 Aug 2026 UTC	AS EupenFriendlies Clubs	Home	2–3	Lost

Scores shown from VVV Venlo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.

LEAGUE CONTEXT

Eerste Divisie — current table

Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · 14:28 UTC. Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.

VVV Venlo are ranked 3 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 18 points from 9 games.

Jong Ajax are ranked 17 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 8 points from 9 games.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28	12	16	22
2	Almere City FC	9	6	1	2	19	7	12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	23	14	9	18
4	Emmen	9	5	1	3	19	18	1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	13	19	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	9	7	2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	19	12	7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	15	13	2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	19	19	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	22	17	5	13
11	FC Volendam	9	4	0	5	20	17	3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	15	19	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15	16	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	12	14	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	13	18	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	13	22	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
19	De Graafschap	9	2	2	5	11	22	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15	21	-6	7

VVV Venlo are ranked 3 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 18 points from 9 games.

Jong Ajax are ranked 17 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 8 points from 9 games.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28	12	16	22
2	Almere City FC	9	6	1	2	19	7	12	19
3	VVV Venlo	9	6	0	3	23	14	9	18
4	Emmen	9	5	1	3	19	18	1	16
5	MVV	9	5	1	3	13	19	-6	16
6	Roda	9	4	3	2	9	7	2	15
7	Waalwijk	9	3	5	1	19	12	7	14
8	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	15	13	2	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	2	3	19	19	0	14
10	Jong AZ	9	4	1	4	22	17	5	13
11	FC Volendam	9	4	0	5	20	17	3	12
12	Jong PSV U21	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
13	FC Eindhoven	9	3	2	4	15	19	-4	11
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15	16	-1	9
15	FC OSS	9	3	0	6	12	14	-2	9
16	Den Bosch	9	2	2	5	13	18	-5	8
17	Jong Ajax	9	2	2	5	13	22	-9	8
18	Dordrecht	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
19	De Graafschap	9	2	2	5	11	22	-11	8
20	Jong Utrecht	9	2	1	6	15	21	-6	7

VVV Venlo are ranked 2 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.

Jong Ajax are ranked 18 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VVV Venlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	MVV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Almere City FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC OSS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Jong PSV U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

VVV Venlo are ranked 2 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.

Jong Ajax are ranked 18 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VVV Venlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	MVV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Almere City FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC OSS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Jong PSV U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

VVV Venlo are ranked 2 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.

Jong Ajax are ranked 18 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	VVV Venlo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Emmen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	MVV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Almere City FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FC OSS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Roda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Jong PSV U21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.

About this prediction

We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.