Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10
Jong AZvsDen Bosch
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Eerste Divisie
- Venue
- AFAS Trainingscomplex
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Real Scored match analysis
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch: match review and analysis
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch in Eerste Divisie on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Jong AZ recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 29 and conceding 18. Den Bosch recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 15 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Jong AZ | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 29 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Jong AZ: (2.72 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Den Bosch: (1.20 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Jong AZ recent form
2.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC VolendamEerste Divisie | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HeraclesEerste Divisie | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| DordrechtEerste Divisie | Away | 6–3 | Won | |
| Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| MVVEerste Divisie | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| EmmenEerste Divisie | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| De GraafschapEerste Divisie | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| FC EindhovenEerste Divisie | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IjsselmeervogelsFriendlies Clubs | Away | 7–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Jong AZ’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Den Bosch recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DordrechtEerste Divisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| De GraafschapEerste Divisie | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Helmond SportEerste Divisie | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC VolendamEerste Divisie | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| VitesseEerste Divisie | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| FC EindhovenEerste Divisie | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| HeraclesEerste Divisie | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Almere City FCEerste Divisie | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Al-FayhaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Den Bosch’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Eerste Divisie — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Jong AZ are ranked 10 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 13 points from 9 games.
Den Bosch are ranked 16 in Eerste Divisie: Regular season, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
Jong AZ are ranked 10 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 13 points from 9 games.
Den Bosch are ranked 16 in Eerste Divisie: Period 1, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | MVV | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | FC OSS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 |
Den Bosch are ranked 3 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.
Jong AZ are ranked 19 in Eerste Divisie: Period 2, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Den Bosch are ranked 3 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.
Jong AZ are ranked 19 in Eerste Divisie: Period 3, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Den Bosch are ranked 3 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.
Jong AZ are ranked 19 in Eerste Divisie: Period 4, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | MVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC OSS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.