Premier Division · Regular Season - 33
WaterfordvsGalway United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier Division
- Venue
- Regional Sports Centre
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Waterford vs Galway United: match review and analysis
Waterford vs Galway United in Premier Division on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Waterford recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 8. Galway United recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 13 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Waterford | Galway United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Waterford: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.44 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Galway United: (1.39 weighted goals scored + 1.00 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Waterford recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock RoversPremier Division | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Derry CityPremier Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| DundalkPremier Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sligo RoversFAI Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Sligo RoversPremier Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Athlone TownFAI Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BohemiansPremier Division | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| ShelbournePremier Division | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Galway UnitedPremier Division | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Waterford’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Galway United recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ShelbournePremier Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Derry CityPremier Division | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Sligo RoversPremier Division | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| BohemiansPremier Division | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Drogheda UnitedFAI Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ShelbournePremier Division | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DundalkPremier Division | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bray WanderersFAI Cup | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Drogheda UnitedPremier Division | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| BohemiansPremier Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Galway United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Galway United are ranked 7 in Premier Division, with 38 points from 32 games.
Waterford are ranked 8 in Premier Division, with 34 points from 32 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Patrick's Athl. | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 59 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 59 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 59 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.