First Division · Regular Season - 35
UCDvsLongford Town
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First Division
- Venue
- UCD Bowl
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
UCD vs Longford Town: match review and analysis
UCD vs Longford Town in First Division on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
UCD recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 21. Longford Town recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 18 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | UCD | Longford Town |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
UCD: (2.16 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Longford Town: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 2.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
UCD recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treaty UnitedFirst Division | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Cork CityFirst Division | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Athlone TownFirst Division | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cobh RamblersFirst Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Home | 5–4 | Won | |
| KerryFirst Division | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Derry CityFAI Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| WexfordFirst Division | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Treaty UnitedFirst Division | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from UCD’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Longford Town recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WexfordFirst Division | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Cork CityFirst Division | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Treaty UnitedFirst Division | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| KerryFirst Division | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cobh RamblersFirst Division | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bray WanderersFirst Division | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| BohemiansFAI Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Athlone TownFirst Division | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Finn HarpsFirst Division | Home | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Longford Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First Division — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
UCD are ranked 3 in First Division, with 52 points from 34 games.
Longford Town are ranked 5 in First Division, with 48 points from 34 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 34 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | UCD | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 52 |
| 4 | Cobh Ramblers | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Kerry | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 48 |
| 7 | Athlone Town | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Wexford | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 36 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 25 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.