Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Cardiff MET1–3Trefelin
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Cyncoed Campus
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Cardiff MET vs Trefelin: match review and analysis
Cardiff MET vs Trefelin in Premier League on 9 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Cardiff MET recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Trefelin recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, with 5 scored and 24 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cardiff MET | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 5 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 24 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cardiff MET: (1.48 weighted goals scored + 2.36 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Trefelin: (0.52 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.83 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cardiff MET recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlandudnoPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Haverfordwest County AFCPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Caernarfon TownPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FCPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Flint Town UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Ammanford AFCPremier League | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| Briton FerryPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| The New SaintsPremier League | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Barry TownPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cardiff MET’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Trefelin recent form
0.50 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airbus UKPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| The New SaintsPremier League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Briton FerryPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cambrian & ClydachPremier League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| PenybontPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HolywellPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Haverfordwest County AFCPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ammanford AFCPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Caernarfon TownPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FCPremier League | Away | 0–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Trefelin’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cardiff MET are ranked 7 in Premier League, with 21 points from 13 games.
Trefelin are ranked 15 in Premier League, with 6 points from 13 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 6 | 38 | 37 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 31 |
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 26 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
| 14 | Flint Town United | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | -30 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.