FAW Championship · North - 11
Ruthin TownvsRhyl
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- FAW Championship
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ruthin Town vs Rhyl: match review and analysis
Ruthin Town vs Rhyl in FAW Championship on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ruthin Town recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Rhyl recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 17 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ruthin Town | Rhyl |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 17 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ruthin Town: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 2.20 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rhyl: (1.74 weighted goals scored + 1.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.82 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ruthin Town recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley TownFAW Championship | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PenrhyncochFAW Championship | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| PorthmadogFAW Championship | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| CaerswsFAW Championship | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Brickfield RangersFAW Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mold AlexandraFAW Championship | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| GuilsfieldFAW Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Denbigh TownFAW Championship | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Bala TownFAW Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Holyhead HotspurFAW Championship | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ruthin Town’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rhyl recent form
1.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brickfield RangersFAW Championship | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Gresford AthleticFAW Championship | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Buckley TownFAW Championship | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Bangor City 1876 FCFAW Championship | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Denbigh TownFAW Championship | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Bala TownFAW Championship | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CaerswsFAW Championship | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| PorthmadogFAW Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| GuilsfieldFAW Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LlandudnoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Rhyl’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FAW Championship — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 20 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth Town | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen Stars | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Pontardawe Town | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Newport City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Caerphilly Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
Rhyl are ranked 11 in North, with 10 points from 10 games.
Ruthin Town are ranked 12 in North, with 8 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Caersws | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 17 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 30 | -26 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.