Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 2
Delfin SCvsMushuc Runa SC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 9 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Pro
- Venue
- Estadio Jocay
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC: match review and analysis
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC in Liga Pro on 9 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Delfin SC recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Mushuc Runa SC recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, with 9 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Delfin SC | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Delfin SC: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 0.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mushuc Runa SC: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Delfin SC recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LDU PortoviejoCopa Ecuador | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Barcelona SCLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AucasLiga Pro | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cde Juventud ItalianaCopa Ecuador | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Independiente del ValleLiga Pro | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Orense SCLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Delfin SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mushuc Runa SC recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Leones del NorteLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LDU de QuitoLiga Pro | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Delfin SCLiga Pro | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo CuencaLiga Pro | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Barcelona SCLiga Pro | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Manta FCLiga Pro | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| LibertadLiga Pro | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Mushuc Runa SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Pro — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Mushuc Runa SC are ranked 11 in Liga Pro: Regular season, with 38 points from 30 games.
Delfin SC are ranked 15 in Liga Pro: Regular season, with 28 points from 30 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 21 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73 | 33 | 40 | 74 |
| 2 | Macara | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 44 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Emelec | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 39 |
Mushuc Runa SC are ranked 11 in Liga Pro: Relegation Group, with 39 points from 31 games.
Delfin SC are ranked 15 in Liga Pro: Relegation Group, with 29 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 33 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 29 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.