Primera A · Clausura - 14
Once Caldas1–0Llaneros
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera A
- Venue
- Estadio Palogrande
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Once Caldas vs Llaneros: match review and analysis
Once Caldas vs Llaneros in Primera A on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Once Caldas recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. Llaneros recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Once Caldas | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Once Caldas: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.60 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.25 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Llaneros: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.23 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Once Caldas recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional de BogotaPrimera A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BucaramangaPrimera A | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Deportivo PastoPrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Deportes TolimaPrimera A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo CaliPrimera A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Alianza ValleduparCopa Colombia | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ChicoPrimera A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Fortaleza FCPrimera A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| JuniorPrimera A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JaguaresPrimera A | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Once Caldas’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Llaneros recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| America de CaliPrimera A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CucutaPrimera A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico NacionalPrimera A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Internacional de BogotaPrimera A | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Deportes TolimaPrimera A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| QuindioCopa Colombia | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Independiente MedellinPrimera A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| MillonariosPrimera A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportivo PastoPrimera A | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Águilas DoradasPrimera A | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Llaneros’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Once Caldas are ranked 5 in Apertura, with 33 points from 19 games.
Llaneros are ranked 14 in Apertura, with 22 points from 19 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 |
Llaneros are ranked 11 in Clausura, with 14 points from 12 games.
Once Caldas are ranked 12 in Clausura, with 13 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.