J3 League · Regular Season - 10
Kochi United1–3Parceiro Nagano
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J3 League
- Venue
- Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–3
- 90-minute score
- 1–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kochi United vs Parceiro Nagano: match review and analysis
Kochi United vs Parceiro Nagano in J3 League on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Kochi United recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 3 and conceding 24. Parceiro Nagano recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 10 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kochi United | Parceiro Nagano |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 3 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 24 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kochi United: (0.31 weighted goals scored + 1.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Parceiro Nagano: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 2.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kochi United recent form
0.30 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| OsakaJ3 League | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KanazawaJ3 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ-League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tochigi SCJ3 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Roasso KumamotoJ3 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Verspah OitaEmperor Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FC GifuJ3 League | Away | 0–7 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kochi United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Parceiro Nagano recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nara ClubJ3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Fukushima UnitedJ3 League | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| FC GifuJ3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tochigi SCJ3 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mito HollyhockJ-League Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SagamiharaJ3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Thespakusatsu GunmaJ3 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC TokyoEmperor Cup | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Roasso KumamotoJ3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fukui UnitedEmperor Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Parceiro Nagano’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Parceiro Nagano are ranked 12 in J3 League, with 11 points from 9 games.
Kochi United are ranked 20 in J3 League, with 5 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | FC Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Biwako Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Parceiro Nagano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 6 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.