J2 League · Regular Season - 10
Tokushima Vortis1–2Imabari
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- Pocarisweat Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–2
- 90-minute score
- 1–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari: match review and analysis
Tokushima Vortis vs Imabari in J2 League on 10 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Tokushima Vortis recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Imabari recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Tokushima Vortis | Imabari |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Tokushima Vortis: (1.34 weighted goals scored + 1.99 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Imabari: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Tokushima Vortis recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albirex NiigataJ2 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Gamba OsakaEmperor Cup | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Ventforet KofuJ2 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| IwakiJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC GifuJ-League Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC TokushimaEmperor Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Tokushima Vortis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Imabari recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Shonan BellmareJ2 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Kashiwa ReysolEmperor Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sagan TosuJ2 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| KanazawaJ-League Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Blaublitz AkitaEmperor Cup | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Kataller ToyamaJ2 League | Away | 0–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Imabari’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tokushima Vortis are ranked 9 in J2 League, with 13 points from 9 games.
Imabari are ranked 19 in J2 League, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.