J2 League · Regular Season - 10
Ventforet KofuvsTochigi City
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- JIT Recycle Ink Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ventforet Kofu vs Tochigi City: match review and analysis
Ventforet Kofu vs Tochigi City in J2 League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Ventforet Kofu recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Tochigi City recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 12 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ventforet Kofu | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 21 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ventforet Kofu: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tochigi City: (1.08 weighted goals scored + 2.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ventforet Kofu recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kataller ToyamaJ2 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Omiya ArdijaJ2 League | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| KashimaEmperor Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Tokushima VortisJ2 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Montedio YamagataJ2 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| OsakaJ-League Cup | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Consadole SapporoJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Consadole SapporoEmperor Cup | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ventforet Kofu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tochigi City recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ImabariJ2 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ-League Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tokushima VortisJ2 League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Machida ZelviaEmperor Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Vegalta SendaiJ2 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Kataller ToyamaJ2 League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Consadole SapporoJ2 League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Vanraure HachinoheJ-League Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Jubilo IwataJ2 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Vegalta SendaiEmperor Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Tochigi City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Tochigi City are ranked 13 in J2 League, with 10 points from 9 games.
Ventforet Kofu are ranked 20 in J2 League, with 7 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.