Liga II · Regular Season - 9
Metalul BuzăuvsASA Targu Mures
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga II
- Venue
- Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures: match review and analysis
Metalul Buzău vs ASA Targu Mures in Liga II on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Metalul Buzău recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 9. ASA Targu Mures recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Metalul Buzău | ASA Targu Mures |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Metalul Buzău: (1.32 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.57 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
ASA Targu Mures: (1.62 weighted goals scored + 0.93 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.27 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Metalul Buzău recent form
1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ConcordiaLiga II | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Unirea SloboziaLiga II | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Viitorul ŞelimbărLiga II | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chindia TargovisteLiga II | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SlatinaLiga II | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Gloria BistriţaCupa României | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CS Dinamo BucureștiLiga II | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| BaicoiCupa României | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| CS AfumatiLiga II | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| MetaloglobusLiga II | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Metalul Buzău’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
ASA Targu Mures recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS Dinamo BucureștiLiga II | Home | 4–3 | Won | |
| CS AfumatiLiga II | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MetaloglobusLiga II | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| FC Politehnica TimisoaraLiga II | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Gloria BistriţaLiga II | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC Politehnica TimisoaraCupa României | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Bihor OradeaLiga II | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| GheorgheniCupa României | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cetatea SuceavaLiga II | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CSM ReşiţaLiga II | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from ASA Targu Mures’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga II — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Metalul Buzău are ranked 8 in Liga II, with 14 points from 8 games.
ASA Targu Mures are ranked 13 in Liga II, with 11 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Bacau | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 15 |
| 5 | Chindia Targoviste | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Popești-Leordeni | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Concordia | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | CS Afumati | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Cetatea Suceava | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 12 |
| 11 | Gloria Bistriţa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 | Metaloglobus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | ASA Targu Mures | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Bihor Oradea | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 16 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Ştefăneşti | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Unirea Slobozia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 21 | Dumbrăviţa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 3 |
| 22 | CS Dinamo București | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.