Liga 1 · Regular Season - 4
Arema FCvsBhayangkara FC
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga 1
- Venue
- Kanjuruhan Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC: match review and analysis
Arema FC vs Bhayangkara FC in Liga 1 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Arema FC recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 21 and conceding 13. Bhayangkara FC recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 22 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Arema FC | Bhayangkara FC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 21 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Arema FC: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 1.70 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bhayangkara FC: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Arema FC recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persik KediriLiga 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PSM MakassarLiga 1 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Isenmulang KaltengLiga 1 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| PersijaPiala Presiden | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Persebaya SurabayaPiala Presiden | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DPMM FC BruneiPiala Presiden | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tampines RoversPiala Presiden | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Persib BandungPiala Presiden | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PSIM YogyakartaLiga 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PSBS Biak NumforLiga 1 | Away | 5–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Arema FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bhayangkara FC recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isenmulang KaltengLiga 1 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Dewa UnitedLiga 1 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PSBS Biak NumforLiga 1 | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Bali UnitedLiga 1 | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Persepam Madura UtdLiga 1 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PSM MakassarLiga 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Persib BandungLiga 1 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Persis SoloLiga 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PSIM YogyakartaLiga 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Bhayangkara FC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga 1 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Arema FC are ranked 9 in Liga 1, with 5 points from 3 games.
Bhayangkara FC are ranked 10 in Liga 1, with 5 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dewa United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Persepam Madura Utd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Persija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Bali United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Pusamania Borneo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Bhayangkara FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Persita | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -10 | -2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.