J1 League · Regular Season - 9
Kyoto SangavsMachida Zelvia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J1 League
- Venue
- Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia: match review and analysis
Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia in J1 League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Kyoto Sanga recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Machida Zelvia recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, with 19 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Kyoto Sanga | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Kyoto Sanga: (1.02 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Machida Zelvia: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Kyoto Sanga recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Machida ZelviaJ-League Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fujieda MYFCEmperor Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Daejeon CitizenAFC Champions League Elite | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| FC TokyoJ1 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Avispa FukuokaJ1 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Maruyasu OkazakiEmperor Cup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mito HollyhockJ1 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Kyoto Sanga’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Machida Zelvia recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto SangaJ-League Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Tochigi CityEmperor Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Svay RiengAFC Champions League Two | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nagoya GrampusJ1 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Mito HollyhockJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Grulla MoriokaEmperor Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| UrawaJ1 League | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Machida Zelvia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J1 League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Machida Zelvia are ranked 4 in J-League, with 17 points from 8 games.
Kyoto Sanga are ranked 14 in J-League, with 8 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito Hollyhock | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | V-varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 | Tokyo Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.