Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 6
San IgnaciovsEibar III
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
San Ignacio vs Eibar III: match review and analysis
San Ignacio vs Eibar III in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
San Ignacio recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Eibar III recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 22 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | San Ignacio | Eibar III |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 22 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
San Ignacio: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.53 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Eibar III: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.58 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
San Ignacio recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Union BTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Pasaia KETercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Lagun OnakTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DerioTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DurangoTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| La CalzadaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| TouringTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo Alavés IIITercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Aurrerá VitoriaTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| LeioaTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from San Ignacio’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Eibar III recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad IIITercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LeioaTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ErandioTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| SodupeTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo Alavés IIITercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SanturtziFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Pasaia KETercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Lagun OnakTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DeustoTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| PortugaleteTercera División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Eibar III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
San Ignacio are ranked 12 in Tercera: Group 4, with 5 points from 5 games.
Eibar III are ranked 13 in Tercera: Group 4, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Pasaia KE | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad III | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Touring | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportivo Alavés III | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Eibar III | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | R. Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Sodupe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.