Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Group 12 - 6
EstrellavsLos Llanos
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Estrella vs Los Llanos: match review and analysis
Estrella vs Los Llanos in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Estrella recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Los Llanos recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Estrella | Los Llanos |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Estrella: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Los Llanos: (0.99 weighted goals scored + 1.72 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.36 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Estrella recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD San FernandoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Villaverde NorteTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| HerbaniaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Santa ÚrsulaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| BuzanadaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MensajeroTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Estrella’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Los Llanos recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Sur YaizaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Playas SotaventoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Laguna de DueroTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real Unión de TenerifeTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Panadería PulidoTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TamaraceiteTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Las Palmas IITercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| HerbaniaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Santa ÚrsulaTercera División RFEF - Group 12 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Los Llanos’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Los Llanos are ranked 9 in Group 12, with 7 points from 4 games.
Estrella are ranked 13 in Group 12, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Mensajero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Las Palmas III | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | San Bartolomé | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Marino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Panadería Pulido | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Los Llanos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brígida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Tenerife C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Estrella | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Laguna de Duero | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Playas Sotavento | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.