Second League - Group 2 · Group 2 - 27
Iskra SmolenskvsMurom
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Iskra Smolensk vs Murom: match review and analysis
Iskra Smolensk vs Murom in Second League - Group 2 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Iskra Smolensk recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Murom recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 18 scored and 6 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Iskra Smolensk | Murom |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 6 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Iskra Smolensk: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 0.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Murom: (2.03 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.91 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Iskra Smolensk recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luki-EnergiyaSecond League - Group 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Zvezda St. PetersburgSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Torpedo VladimirSecond League - Group 2 | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo VologdaSecond League - Group 2 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Baltika IISecond League - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Yenisey IISecond League - Group 2 | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Chertanovo MoscowSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| KalugaCup | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Kosmos DolgoprudnySecond League - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dinamo St. PetersburgSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Iskra Smolensk’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Murom recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luki-EnergiyaSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Zvezda St. PetersburgSecond League - Group 2 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Torpedo VladimirSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| VelesCup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Dinamo VologdaSecond League - Group 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| 2DrotsCup | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Baltika IISecond League - Group 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Yenisey IISecond League - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Metallurg LipetskCup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Chertanovo MoscowSecond League - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Murom’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Murom are ranked 1 in West, with 44 points from 21 games.
Iskra Smolensk are ranked 14 in West, with 15 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murom | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 44 |
| 2 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 22 | 42 |
| 3 | Luki-Energiya | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 42 |
| 4 | Baltika II | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 40 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 39 |
| 6 | Torpedo Vladimir | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
| 8 | Tver | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 24 |
| 9 | Cherepovets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 24 |
| 10 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 11 | Dinamo Vologda | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
| 12 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Yenisey II | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 19 |
| 14 | Iskra Smolensk | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 15 |
| 15 | Irkutsk | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 46 | -35 | 11 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.