Second League - Group 3 · Group 3 - 27
Zenit PenzavsRodina Moskva III
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Second League - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Zenit Penza vs Rodina Moskva III: match review and analysis
Zenit Penza vs Rodina Moskva III in Second League - Group 3 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Zenit Penza recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Rodina Moskva III recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Zenit Penza | Rodina Moskva III |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Zenit Penza: (0.66 weighted goals scored + 1.35 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rodina Moskva III: (2.35 weighted goals scored + 1.25 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Zenit Penza recent form
0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallurg LipetskSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RyazanSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Saturn RamenskoyeSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arsenal Tula IISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| StroginoSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| SKA Khabarovsk IISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ShumbratSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| FK Spartak TambovSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Avangard KurskSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Volna NizhegorodskayaSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Zenit Penza’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rodina Moskva III recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula IISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| StroginoSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 5–2 | Won | |
| SKA Khabarovsk IISecond League - Group 3 | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| ShumbratSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FK Spartak TambovSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Avangard KurskSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Volna NizhegorodskayaSecond League - Group 3 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| RyazanSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Rotor-2Second League - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| KvantSecond League - Group 3 | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Rodina Moskva III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Second League - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Rodina Moskva III are ranked 9 in Central, with 28 points from 22 games.
Zenit Penza are ranked 12 in Central, with 23 points from 21 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 56 |
| 2 | FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 12 | 25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 22 | 40 |
| 6 | Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Zenit Penza | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | Rotor-2 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 14 |
| 15 | Arsenal Tula II | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.