Thai League 2 · Regular Season - 5
Nakhon PathomvsMuangthong United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Thai League 2
- Venue
- Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United: match review and analysis
Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United in Thai League 2 on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Nakhon Pathom recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Muangthong United recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 9 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Nakhon Pathom | Muangthong United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Nakhon Pathom: (1.00 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Muangthong United: (0.69 weighted goals scored + 0.98 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.84 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Nakhon Pathom recent form
1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KanchanaburiThai League 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Phrae UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Phrae UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| BangkokThai League 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Khon Kaen UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nakhon Pathom’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Muangthong United recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| SatunThai League 2 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| UttaraditThai League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sukhothai FCThai League 1 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BG Pathum UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Chonburi FCThai League 1 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Chiangrai UnitedThai League 1 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Buriram UnitedThai League 1 | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Muangthong United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Thai League 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Muangthong United are ranked 7 in Thai Division 1, with 7 points from 4 games.
Nakhon Pathom are ranked 14 in Thai Division 1, with 4 points from 4 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khon Kaen United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Uttaradit | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Muang Loei United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Phrae United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Chainat | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Muangthong United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Satun | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Kanchanaburi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Police Tero | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Songkhla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Chanthaburi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Nakhon Pathom | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Esan Pattaya | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Mahasarakham United | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.